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Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking

Authors

Navik Istikomah

Document Type

Article

Abstract

The purpose of this research is to identify the problems of the effect of economic variables, that is, changes of exchange rates Rp/US$, external debt, economic growth, inflation, differences of interest rate of Indonesian- America, Foreign Direct Investment, political stability condition, on capital flight in Indonesia, for period 1st quarter, 1990 – 4th quarter, 2000. The determinants of capital flight in Indonesia use cointegration equation model of Likelihood Johansen’s. The estimation completed by time series data validity, that is, unit-roots-test and co-integration-test.The result of research indicate that independent variable on model, that is, changes of exchange rates Rp/US$, external debt, economic growth, inflation, differences of interest rate of Indonesian-America, Foreign Direct Investment, and political stability condition, on the long run could explain changes of capital flight about 58,85 percent and altogether significant (computed-F = 7,1520 > value-F = 3,192). Partially, knowed that all variable on model, exceptly inflation and differences of interest rate of Indonesia-America, to have significant influence on capital flight in Indonesia. All variable sufficient stationery-condition at first different and the model could cointegrated at first different.Keywords: Capital Flight and determinant factors, and Cointegration of Johansen’s Likelihood

First Page

12

Last Page

31

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